Updated Storm Track for this Weekend
Updated Storm Track for Weekend Storm
November 14, 2025
By Jay Faught
The storm system we’ve been watching all week has shifted—but this time, it’s slowing down and taking a more northerly route. That updated path dramatically changes the weekend forecast for Santa Fe and northern New Mexico.
A Slower, More Northern Storm Track
Earlier projections had the storm sweeping into New Mexico sooner, with a more organized band of moisture. But the latest data shows the system digging more slowly along the West Coast and pushing a bit farther north than originally expected.
That shift means Southern California will now take the brunt of the storm, with periods of heavy rain and even flooding concerns in some areas. For us in Santa Fe, however, the impacts will be much more limited.
Santa Fe’s Updated Forecast: Light and Late
Instead of showers developing Saturday or early Sunday, the latest timing suggests isolated light rain showers won’t arrive until Sunday night. The moisture feed simply doesn’t extend far enough south to bring widespread precipitation to our area.
Here’s what that means for your weekend plans:
- Most of the weekend stays dry—great news if you're planning outdoor activities around town or on the trails.
- Isolated showers Sunday night may bring brief dampness but nothing widespread or soaking.
Snow Levels: Staying High
There will be just enough moisture and lift Sunday night into early Monday for a few flakes in the higher terrain:
- Light snow is possible above 9,000 feet, mainly over the highest peaks of the Sangre de Cristo Mountains.
- Accumulations look minimal, and ski areas won’t see major impacts, though the first hints of winter are always exciting.
- Valleys, including Santa Fe, will stay warm enough for just light rain if anything at all.
Bottom Line
While this storm is impressive for the West Coast, its slower and more northern track means Santa Fe will see only minor impacts—mostly a few isolated showers Sunday night and perhaps a dusting of snow high in the mountains.
A bigger takeaway: this pattern shift still hints at an active atmosphere as we move deeper into November. It’s a good reminder that our storm season is just getting started.
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